Συνέντευξη με τον Dr. Colin Campbell (Zone5 Podcast - Peak Oil, the Financial Collapse, Adaptation and What the Future May Hold)

Συνέντευξη του ιδρυτή της ASPO (Association for the Study of peak Oil and Gas), ένος εκ των σημαντικότερων διεθνούς δράσης επιστημονικών κινημάτων για την κορύφωση της κατανάλωσης των ενεργειακών πόρων...

Προσέξτε τις απόψεις για την συσχέτιση με την αλλαγή του κλίματος και την φρενίτιδα της "πράσινης ανάπτυξης"... καθώς επίσης και την γεωπολιτική σημασία της ενδεχόμενης "πράσινης" φορολογίας. Η άμεση σαρωτική κοινωνικοοικονομική αλλαγή θα επέλθει άμεσα όπως αναφέρει, αρχικά όχι από την "αλλαγή του κλίματος", αλλά από την προφανή έλλειψη ενεργειακών πόρων. Τα υπόλοιπα έπονται... Απλά, ακόμη, δεν εμφανίζεται το ενεργειακό θέμα ως ... "πρόβλημα". Ίσως μερικές σκέψεις να παραπέμπουν μοιραία στο έγκλημα που συντελείται στον κόλπο του Μεξικού... και η παράνοια συνεχίζεται...

Zone5 Podcast #3 with Dr. Colin Campbell on Peak Oil, the Financial Collapse, Adaptation and What the Future May Hold (18-02-2010)

Colin Campbell, founder of the Association for the Study of peak Oil and Gas, is officially retired from his career as oil geologist and Peak Oil pundit but kindly agreed to this interview for the zone5 podcast.

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Colin is the author of several books on the impending peak in world oil production and the implications for modern civilisation including the influential Oil Crisis in 2005 and most recently An Atlas of Oil and Gas Depletion

In this interview he discusses his career as an oil geologist and how this lead to an awareness of the limits to future production.

Some listeners may be surprised to hear Colin’s scepticism regarding anthropogenic climate change. When I asked him about it later he assured me that he makes no claim to know much about climate change per se, but pointed me to this important paper by Hook, Sivertsson and Aleklett, which examines the projected supply of fossil fuels in scenarios used in the IPCC Emission Scenarios.

These projections by the IPCC seem to take little if any account of the imminent peaking and decline of fossil fuels in the next few years, assuming higher production rates in some cases than even the industry expects to be feasible.

Perhaps concern about this failure by the IPCC to incorporate such essential information leads to questioning its other conclusions.

από την wikipedia (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Association_for_the_Study_of_Peak_Oil_and_Gas)

The Association for the Study of Peak Oil and Gas, or ASPO, is a network of scientists, affiliated with a wide array of global institutions and universities, whose goal is to attempt to determine the date and impact of the peak and decline of the world’s production of oil and gas, due to resource constraints.

ASPO was founded by Colin Campbell in 2000. It is the most influential organization supporting the "peak oil" theory, meaning that future oil supply will be much less than commonly expected. Their studies use theHubbert curve, devised by M. King Hubbert, among many other methods to which predict future oil availability. It is a common misunderstanding to believe that ASPO and peak oil only is about the Hubbert curve.

Geologists, energy researchers and many other scientists from the following countries are represented in ASPO: Australia, Austria, Denmark, China, Finland, France, Germany, Ireland, Italy, Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland and the United Kingdom. Peak Oil and ASPO persons appears in the documentary film The End of Suburbia and PetroApocalypse Now?.

But ASPO has its share of critics. The current debate revolves around energy policy, and whether to shift funding to increasing fuel efficiency, and alternative energy sources like solar and nuclear power. Campbell's critics, like Michael C. Lynch, argue that his research data is sloppy. They point to the date of the coming peak, which was initially projected to occur by the year 1997, but the date was pushed back to 2000, then 2010, moved up to 2006 (in 2004) and later (2005) back to 2010. Campbell explains this with the fact that he has got better data from industry and more reliable estimates. However, Campbell and his supporters insist that when the peak occurs is not as important as the realization that the peak is coming.

[edit]Mission

1. To evaluate the world’s endowment and definition of oil and gas;

2. To study depletion, taking due account of economics, demand, technology and politics;

3. To raise awareness of the serious consequences for humankind.

[edit]External links

• Official website
• ASPO-USA: Based in Denver, Colorado, holds world's largest annual peak oil conferences in autumn
• Denver world oil congress